One of the most profound regrets that individuals express at the end of their lives is not having had the courage to live the life they truly desired rather than the life others expected of them. This ...

History is filled with decisions that went disastrously wrong—not because people lacked intelligence or technical skill, but because they lacked the strength of character to act on what they knew.

We all make judgments of probability and depend on them for our decision-making. However, it is not always obvious which judgments to trust, especially since a range of studies suggest that these ...

This post is part 2 of a series. In a previous post, I partially outlined calibrationism, the view that judgments of probability are trustworthy only if they are produced by ways of thinking that are ...